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Light trails made by a passing bus illuminate the night sky in front of the Houses of Parliament in London, February 4, 2010.
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LONDON - The Conservatives are uncertain of a parliamentary majority at an election, an opinion poll published on Monday suggested.
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The "poll of polls" in the Independent -- a weighted average of the polls conducted by ComRes, ICM, YouGov, Populus and Ipsos Mori -- showed the Conservative party's lead cut to single figures.
The projections put the Conservatives on 39 percent, down one point from last month, with the Labour party up one point on 30 percent, suggesting an election, expected by May, could leave no party with an overall majority.
The third-placed Liberal Democrats, who could then hold the balance of power, were unchanged on 19 percent.
The poll followed an ICM survey in the Sunday Telegraph that showed the Conservatives 14 seats short of a majority in the Commons, if the result were repeated on election day.
It would be the first time there has been no outright winner in a British election since the mid-1970s.
That could make financial markets jittery over whether MPs would be able to take decisive action to tackle Britain's record budget deficit, analysts say.
(Reporting by Caroline Copley; Editing by Jon Hemming)
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