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EU Morning Report - The trade of the year: the January barometer

02 Jan, 2013 @ 03:06 am BST | By NikolasX


The January barometer is the hypothesis that the financial market’s performance in January foretells their performance for the rest of the year. As the new year begins, investors worldwide will closely monitor currencies, indices and commodities in January in an effort to benefit from new and old trends, aiming for the trade of the year.

The euro (EUR) has strengthened against most of its major counterparts, after a deal was reached to stave off a "fiscal cliff" of sweeping taxation and spending cuts. The bill passed on Tuesday night following the house vote, where 172 Democrats and 85 Republicans voted in favour of it. This development has boosted risk appetite.

 

§ The Japanese yen (JPY) now trades above the 87.00 mark against the US dollar (USD), a level not seen since July 2010.

§ The Australian dollar (AUD) benefited the most following the “fiscal cliff” deal, rising across the board. The Aussie has appreciated by 100 pips, against the US dollar (USD), so far today.

§ GER 30 (DAX) has commenced the first trading session of the year with a huge gap up, opening at 7743.3 from 7624.3.

Stay in tune throughout the day with foreign exchange bullets!

 

. Pivot Preference1 Sentiment2
. EURUSD 1.3200 LONG @ 1.3210 33% of deals buy EUR
. USDJPY 86.75 LONG @ 86.80 41% of deals buy USD
. GBPUSD 1.6225 LONG @ 1.6235 27% of deals buy GBP
. AUDUSD 1.0455 LONG @ 1.0455 33% of deals buy AUD
. GOLD 1668 LONG @ 1668 73% of deals buy GOLD
. OIL 91.30 LONG @ 91.30 27% of deals buy OIL

1 data generated by Trading Central, 2 data obtained from easy-forex Inside Viewer

.

Currency Time (GMT) Event Forecast
. EUR 09:00 Manufacturing PMI in December 46.3
. GBP 09:30 Manufacturing PMI in December 49.2
. USD 15:00 ISM Manufacturing in December 50.2

.

Movers Shakers
XAGUSD

Silver (XAG) is trading above 30 US dollars (USD) an ounce, after falling below this level for first time since August in the previous month. The precious metal had been falling, seemingly non-stop and this rebound is expected to provide a much needed catalyst for further appreciation.

 

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