Natural Gas Fundamental Analysis February 13, 2012, Forecast

Natural Gas Fundamental Analysis February 13, 2012, Forecast

Economic Events: (GMT)

WEEKLY

• This Week in Petroleum
  Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
• Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
  Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
• Weekly Petroleum Status Report
  Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. All other PDF and HTML files are released to the Web site after 1:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. Appendix D is produced during the winter heating season, which extends from October through March of each year. For some weeks which include holidays, releases are delayed by one day. (schedule)
• Heating Oil & Propane Update (October-March)
  Heating Oil, Propane Residential and Wholesale Price Data
  Release Schedule: Wednesday at 1:00 p.m. EST
• Weekly Coal Production
  Release Schedule: Thursday by 5:00 p.m. EST
• Weekly NYMEX Coal Futures
  Release Schedule: Monday by 5:00 p.m. EST
• Coal News & Markets
  Release Schedule: Monday by 5:00 p.m. EST
• Natural Gas Weekly Update
  Release Schedule: Thursday between 2:00 and 2:30 p.m. (Eastern Time)
• Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report
  Release Schedule: Thursday at 10:30 (Eastern Time) (schedule)

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Analysis and Recommendations:

Natural Gas is closing out the week at 2.461 down slightly. NG pushed up earlier today on stories of potential cold in the Northwest. But this did not hold up. Days of winter are passing by quickly. After hitting a high of 2.52 NG continued to fall. The price was pushed down by last minute profit taking and held at 2.46 level by buyers looking at a cheap deal.

NG will most likely bounce around in the low 2.40 range before breaking under the 2.40 level while it seeks a bottom as spring rolls in.

Natural Gas Pivot Points (Time Frame: 1 Day)