Market in the Week Ahead: Current Account Data Key for India Debt/FX

December 29, 2012 7:28 AM GMT

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* India will release current account data for July-September on Monday amid expectations it will show a record high deficit, sending the balance of payments into negative territory.




				
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* Global risk factors will also be key for Indian debt and FX markets as U.S. lawmakers continue negotiations over the "fiscal cliff": failure to clinch a deal may send the dollar sharply higher.



* However, hopes for interest rate cuts in January will gather steam in the new year.



* RBI will also issue its T-bills issuance calendar for the Jan-March quarter, which will be watched closely to see whether RBI funds its extra borrowing with shorter-term paper.



* Indian markets will remain open on Jan. 1.




    					

            					
    
                					
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KEY FACTORS/EVENTS TO WATCH:



Monday: July-Sept current account deficit, BOP Nov. infrastructure data, fiscal deficit



Wednesday: Dec. manufacturing PMI



Friday: Dec. services PMI, Weekly forex reserves, bank loans

Copyright 2012 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
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