February 13, 2012 8:06 AM
The Overnight Review
Market Commentary: The Greek austerity package was approved over the weekend after an impassioned plea by PM Papademos just before the crucial vote. Now the next step goes to the Eurozone finance ministers (set for Wednesday). They need to approve the cuts enacted by Greece which would clear the way for the next tranche of aid for Greece to be approved. However,
the next aid decision is not expected until March. The news of austerity approval sent a reported 100,000 to the streets of Greece where rioting took place. Also still to come is the private sector involvement negotiations which are still unresolved. There is also a report due out on the Greek debt sustainability from the EU, IMF and ECB. Making matters even more uncertain is whether Greece will implement the measures in their entirety, and the chance an election as early as April which has the potential of derailing all the efforts. Of course much also depends on the sustainability of the Greek economy to produce enough cuts and enough revenue to be self sustaining. The news of the vote approval, nevertheless has led to a rise in the EURUSD. The pair is opening the NY session near the 100 hour MA. This will likely be the bullish above/bearish below line in the sand for traders today as it stuggles with the news headlines. In other news Japan GDP came out weaker than expectations (fell -0.6% vs -0.3% expected). The Annualized GDP show a -2.3% decline versus expectations of -1.3%. The Bank of Japan will be meeting today and again tomorrow and they could consider additional easing. The USDJPY rose last week and has been consolidating at the top of the range. The 50% of the move down from the October high (post BOJ intervention high) comes in a tthe 77.77 level. A move above opens the door for a move toward the 78.06 level (200 day MA). There is no economic news due out in the US or Canada today.
February 13, 2012 8:04 AM
Greek PSI debt deal reported to be announced after the ECOFIN meeting on Wednesday
This is attributed to sources.
February 13, 2012 2:02 AM
German Wholesale Price Index up 1.2% in January vs 0.2% expected
Eur/Usd trades at 1.3240, not affected by release
February 12, 2012 7:22 PM
Japans Q4 GDP Estimate
Japan's 4th quarter GDP numbers came in even softer than surveyed, while activity picked up in December based on the Tertiary Industry Index reading improving more than expected.
- GDP Deflator - Survey:-1.7% Actual:-1.6% Prior:-2.2%
- Nominal GDP (QoQ) - Survey:-0.7% Actual:-0.8% Prior:1.2%
- GDP Annualized - Survey:-1.3% Actual:-2.3% Prior:5.6%
- GDP- Survey:-0.3% Actual:-0.6% Prior:1.4%
- Tertiary Industry Index - Survey:0.8% Actual:1.4% Prior:-0.8%
February 12, 2012 6:13 PM
Papademos Has Votes to Win Austerity But Count Continues
February 12, 2012 5:29 PM
Euro Rises 0.3% from NY Close as Greek Lawmakers Begin Vote on Austerity Measures
February 12, 2012 9:43 AM
Greek MPs set to accept bailout deal; The Guardian (UK)
This article spells process out for today and going forward.
February 10, 2012 3:35 PM
CFTC says net EUR short position fell to 23 bln.
This is a decrease of 10% from last week.
February 10, 2012 9:38 AM
A technical look at the EURUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY and more
- The Overnight Review
- Greek PSI debt deal reported to be announced after the ECOFIN meeting on Wednesday
- German Wholesale Price Index up 1.2% in January vs 0.2% expected
- China Sets Yuan Reference Rate @6.2939
- Japans Q4 GDP Estimate
- Papademos Has Votes to Win Austerity But Count Continues
- Euro Rises 0.3% from NY Close as Greek Lawmakers Begin Vote on Austerity Measures
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