Spain (two wins)
Vicente del Bosque's side confirmed their place in the last 16 with the comfortable win over Turkey. A point will be enough to secure them top spot in Group D, while victory would see them progress with a 100% record – which only Italy can match. They would face one of the best third-place finishers, but that could yet be Portugal if Cristiano Ronaldo's team do not beat Hungary.
Croatia (one win, one draw)
If the Croats can refocus their minds after their second-half collapse against Czech Republic, then just a point will be enough to secure them a top two finish. A win would see them leapfrog Spain and top the group. Defeat coupled with a win for the Czechs would leave them vulnerable to finishing third, but having already accumulated four points they would be almost certain of qualification.
Czech Republic (one draw, one defeat)
The late comeback against Croatia means victory over a pointless (in both ways) Turkey is almost certain to be enough for a place in the last 16. Anything less and they are likely to be making an early exit from France. Should Croatia lose then Pavel Vrba's side could finish second, but they would also require a two-goal swing on the night.
Turkey (two defeats)
The beauty of the format means that despite two woeful performances against Croatia and Spain, the outgoing Fatih Terim can prolong his tenure into the last 16. They must beat the Czechs to stand any chance, and then cross their fingers as the final group matches unfold. A win by two goals is the minimum requirement and anything less will see them crash out with a whimper.