Sydney Harbour skyline
A view of Sydney Harbour Bridge. Australia is debating proposed immigration cuts and their potential impact on migrant workers and staffing shortages across key industries Donovan Kelly/Pexels

Australia's net overseas migration is set to more than halve from about 547,000 people in 2023 to a Labor government target of 225,000 by 2027–28, as a viral AI-generated video imagines what the country would look like without migrant workers and asks whether businesses could cope with fewer overseas staff.

The satirical clip, created by the Australian Hotels Association (AHA), uses dark humour to show how immigration cuts could affect everyday services, from hospitality and supermarkets to aged care, at a time of intense political pressure to reduce migration.

Viral AI Video Imagines 'Australia Without Migrants'

The video opens in Melbourne's Federation Square, where a man is invited to press a giant red button to see what Australia would look like without migrant workers.

'What's the worst that can happen?' he asks before pressing it.

What follows is a series of increasingly absurd scenarios.

A barista abandons her shift after receiving a notification about her visa status, while customers at cafés and pubs are left to prepare their own food and drinks. Hotel guests are handed cleaning supplies to tidy their rooms themselves.

At a supermarket, a shopper discovers empty fruit shelves, only to be told that the produce is still on the trees. One rotting apple carries a price tag of A$47.50.

Perhaps the most confronting scene involves an elderly woman asking her visiting son to help with personal care because her nurse has gone home.

Although exaggerated for comedic effect, the advertisement highlights the roles migrant workers play across Australian industries, particularly in regional communities that struggle to attract staff.

Viewers Praise Dark Humour but Say Ad 'Doesn't Go Far Enough'

The video has drawn strong reactions on social media, with many viewers welcoming its humorous approach to a politically sensitive issue.

'This. Is. Fucking. Brilliant,' one Threads user wrote, describing the campaign as a warning to Australia and other Western countries considering immigration restrictions.

'Be careful what you wish for,' the commenter added.

Another viewer agreed, arguing that many people underestimate how heavily everyday services depend on migrant workers, particularly in jobs that local residents may be reluctant to take.

However, some commenters believed the video did not go far enough.

'I don't think the ad goes far enough,' one person wrote, pointing out that immigrants also work as doctors, dentists, surgeons, scientists, engineers and other highly skilled professionals.

An American viewer echoed the sentiment, suggesting the campaign should also depict hospitals losing surgeons and nurses, or infrastructure projects struggling without engineers.

The commenter argued that migrants should not be portrayed solely as people performing physically demanding or lower-skilled work.

Even the campaign's use of artificial intelligence received an unexpected pass from some viewers.

'For once I'm gonna have to overlook the AI thing because it's true,' another commenter wrote.

The reactions suggest that, beyond the video's exaggerated scenarios, its central message has resonated with viewers who are concerned about the wider consequences of immigration restrictions.

Why Australia Is Cutting Migration

Australia's Labor government is targeting net overseas migration of 225,000 by 2027–28, compared with a peak of approximately 547,000 in 2023.

The proposed reforms include stricter student visa requirements, stronger action against visa overstayers and a ballot system for working holidaymakers seeking second- and third-year visas.

The opposition Coalition has proposed deeper reductions, targeting 100,000 net migrants annually for its first two years in government, while One Nation wants negative net migration for three years.

Supporters of tighter immigration controls argue that reducing arrivals would ease pressure on housing, infrastructure and public services.

However, the proposed cuts would reduce migration rather than remove existing migrant workers, as the satirical video imagines.

Hospitality Industry Warns of Staff 'Cliff'

AHA chief executive Stephen Ferguson has warned that migration restrictions could have particularly serious consequences for regional Australia, where businesses already struggle to recruit staff.

Ferguson said the hospitality sector currently has around 7,000 chef and cook vacancies, questioning how businesses would replace workers if overseas recruitment became more difficult.

Hospitality NT, which represents hospitality businesses in Australia's Northern Territory, has also warned that proposed working holiday visa changes could worsen staffing shortages in regional and remote communities.

The industry maintains that Australian workers should be prioritised, but argues that domestic recruitment alone cannot fill every vacancy.

While the AI campaign exaggerates the immediate consequences of migration cuts, it raises a broader question: how can Australia reduce immigration without leaving essential industries short of workers?