Avi Loeb Rips NASA on 3I/ATLAS
'Unacceptable' Images Hide Mothership Seeding Jupiter Pixabay

The cosmos rarely offers precise coincidences without a hidden cause. As the interstellar visitor 3I/ATLAS cuts a path through our solar system, it is doing far more than shedding dust and gas; it is challenging our understanding of orbital dynamics and sparking intense debate regarding its true nature.

While the astronomical community tracks its brightness and trajectory, a silent mathematical drama is unfolding regarding its future rendezvous with the King of Planets. New data suggests this encounter might be far too precise to be a mere accident of nature, raising the possibility that we are witnessing a guided passage rather than a random wanderer.

Orbit
NASA/JPL-Caltech/NASA

The Shifting Acceleration Data of 3I/ATLAS and Jupiter

The orbital calculations for this interstellar traveller have proven volatile. On October 30, 2025, the radial acceleration component A1—normalized at a heliocentric distance of 1 au—was listed as 1.6×10⁻⁶ au per day². However, the situation changed rapidly. By November 24, the value had decreased by a factor of four to 4×10⁻⁷ au per day², said an article published by the online publishing platform Medium, News.Az reports.

This shift is critical because it dictates exactly where the object will be in relation to the giant planets. At that time, I pointed out here that the minimum perijove distance of 3I/ATLAS during its encounter with Jupiter on March 16, 2026 is forecasted to be 53.445 (+/- 0.06) million kilometres, identical within one standard deviation to Jupiter's Hill radius at the perijove time, 53.502 million kilometres.

For those unfamiliar with orbital mechanics, the Hill radius is a boundary of immense significance. Interior to that radius, Jupiter's gravity dominates over the Sun's tide. Any small satellite deposited outside this radius will be removed from Jupiter by the Sun's gravity. A path skimming this exact edge is the perfect trajectory for an object intending to leave something behind in Jupiter's orbit without being captured itself.

This specific boundary acts as a gravitational 'airlock'. An autonomous probe released exactly at the Hill radius would require almost zero propulsion to enter a stable orbit around Jupiter. Conversely, releasing a probe deeper inside the gravity well would require massive braking manoeuvres to avoid crashing or being flung away, while releasing it outside would see the probe lost to the Sun.

Jupiter
Europa is one of Jupiter's four moons. Photo: NASA/ESA/Hubble

Modelling Discrepancies in the Path of 3I/ATLAS and Jupiter

Surprised by the unexpected match between the perijove distance of 3I/ATLAS and the Hill radius of Jupiter on March 16, 2026, I emailed Davide my report here about this unlikely coincidence. There was no response to my email. However, the silence was followed by a significant alteration in the official data. Within a couple of days the listed A1 on NASA's JPL Horizons website here was revised downward by a factor of 6 to a value of 6.8x10⁻⁸ au per day squared, with a new model for the radial dependence of the non-gravitational acceleration.

This new model uses an inverse square dependence on distance from the Sun: 1/r², as appropriate for the sublimation of carbon dioxide (CO2) ice interior to a heliocentric distance of 5 au. This new model replaces the steeper radial dependence associated with the previous model used by NASA's JPL Horizons — suitable for the sublimation of water (H20) ice based on work by Brian Marsden and collaborators, as described here and here.

Given these revisions, the new JPL Horizons forecast for the perijove distance of 3I/ATLAS is now 53.587 (+/- 0.045) million kilometres, slightly outside the Hill radius on March 16, 2026. However, this forecast relies on a 1/r² model which uses past contributions from larger heliocentric distances to explain the measured deviation of 3I/ATLAS from its original gravitational path.

3I/Atlas
Astrophotographer Satoru Murata captures this photo of 3I/ATLAS YouTube

Luminosity Evidence Contradicts the 3I/ATLAS and Jupiter Model

The scientific contention here lies in the physical behaviour of the object. The new model of JPL Horizons is likely inadequate. There is strong evidence that 3I/ATLAS became brighter near perihelion than the smooth 1/r² model would predict. If the object is outgassing more violently or effectively than a simple CO2 model suggests, the calculations regarding its position relative to Jupiter must be adjusted. Correcting the radial dependence of the non-gravitational acceleration of 3I/ATLAS to accommodate this evidence is likely to bring the perijove distance back to agreement with the Hill radius value.

A steeper radial profile of the non-gravitational acceleration of 3I/ATLAS near perihelion than the 1/r² model is suggested by the evolution of the luminosity of 3I/ATLAS. Based on the image obtained by the Hubble Space Telescope on July 21, 2025 (and reported here), the luminosity is dominated by the coma and reflects the mass loss if the total amount of scattered sunlight is proportional to the coma mass.

The luminosity evolution was reported in a new preprint here by Marshall Eubanks and collaborators. An earlier report by Qicheng Zhang and Karl Battams here suggested a steep luminosity profile of 1/r⁷.⁵ inside 2 au as 3I/ATLAS was making its way to the perihelion distance at 1.36 au on October 29, 2025. Adopting this steep radial dependence would change the expected perijove distance towards a closer agreement with Jupiter's Hill radius.

Technological Implications of the 3I/ATLAS and Jupiter Encounter

The implications of these orbital corrections are profound. The insistence of the Vatican on the Earth being at the centre of the solar system did not change the orbit of the Earth around the Sun. For the same reason, the new model of JPL Horizons will not change the actual trajectory of 3I/ATLAS. We will know whether the perijove distance agrees with the Hill radius in the coming months thanks to data collected as 3I/ATLAS approaches its perijove on March 16, 2026. In particular, astrometric data from the spacecraft Juno, Juice or Psyche will be very useful for settling the issue.

Since 3I/ATLAS was hidden by the Sun from terrestrial telescopes during its perihelion passage — when it gained most of its non-gravitational acceleration, we might only have a tight constraint on the integrated drift of 3I/ATLAS from its gravitational path but not on its radial dependence close to perihelion.

If the rare coincidence between the perijove distance of 3I/ATLAS and the Hill radius will materialize, it might flag a technological signature. In that case, 3I/ATLAS could release technological devices as artificial satellites of Jupiter, potentially at Jupiter's Lagrange points L1 and L2 on the Hill sphere — where orbital corrections and fuel requirements are minimal. Such devices could function as long-term sentinels.

3I/Atlas
NASA’s New 3I/ATLAS Images Reveal Stunning Activity During Its Approach From Mars Image: NASA, ESA, David Jewitt UCLA); Image Processing: Joseph DePasquale (STScI

By parking distinct probes at the Lagrange points—gravitationally stable pockets where the pull of the Sun and Jupiter cancel each other out—an extraterrestrial intelligence could establish a permanent observation post with minimal energy expenditure. From this vantage point, these monitors could relay data back to the parent object or transmit across the galaxy, using Jupiter's massive electromagnetic field as a potential power source or signal booster.

Within the diameter of Jupiter's orbit around the Sun, the coincidence between the perijove distance and the Hill radius has a statistical likelihood smaller than 0.00004. In case the non-gravitational acceleration was needed to achieve this match, the rare coincidence will constitute the most remarkable anomaly of 3I/ATLAS so far in the list compiled here. The final verdict on this matter will eventually be posted on the JPL Horizons website, underlining the inescapable truth that science is always work in progress, not to be settled by the authority of NASA officials in press conferences.

Whether 3I/ATLAS is a mere icy wanderer or a vessel deploying silent sentinels, the truth lies in the data that standard models may be overlooking. The rendezvous on March 16, 2026, represents a critical test for our understanding of the cosmos, potentially marking the moment we realised we are being watched.