retirement planning
The oldest boomers are turning 80 in 2026. tiago tins/Pexels.com

The first wave of the Baby Boomer generation will celebrate their 80th birthdays in 2026, marking a historic demographic shift that sees the cohort dubbed the wealthiest in American history despite a 'hidden' inequality crisis.

Baby Boomers are people born between 1946 and 1964, as the name suggests, reflecting the increase in fertility that followed World War II. The US witnessed 76 million births during the boom, with the annual total exceeding four million in 1954 and remaining at that level until 1965. The annual number of births would not exceed four million again until 1989.

The US Census Bureau forecast that there were 72.5 million Baby Boomers on 1st July 1964, making up 37% of the US population. Their absolute numbers peaked at 79 million in 1999, attributable to heightened US immigration in the second half of the 20th century.

As of 1st July, 2024, there were an estimated 67 million Boomers, accounting for 20% of the total US population. The Census Bureau forecast that the Boomer population will reach around 1 million in 2062, when the youngest of the cohort turns 98.

As the oldest Baby Boomers turn 80 in 2026, it is worth noting that they have accumulated more wealth than previous generations of Americans. Analysis of 2022 data showed that the median household led by a Baby Boomer had a net worth of $432,200. In 2022, the age of Boomers ranged from 58 to 76 years. In contrast. The median wealth of 58- to 76-year-olds in 2001, who were mainly members of the 'Silent Generation', was $335,900. In 1983, the median wealth of households headed by a person in this age range was $185,300.

'It's astonishing how their relative wealth has taken off in the last 30-plus years. They started out as among the poorest groups in terms of wealth back in 1983,' said Edward Wolff, Professor of Economics at New York University.

University of Pennsylvania professor Olivia Mitchell pointed out that declining real wages for non-college-educated men have crippled their ability to accumulate wealth, leaving millions entering their 80s with little more than Social Security.

'Baby boomers entered the labour force during decades of strong economic growth, rising productivity and relatively high real wages,' she said.

Boomer Wealth Concentrated In Top 10% Households

Although Boomers have accumulated the highest wealth compared with earlier generations, the wealth is not equally distributed. Their wealth is concentrated in a small share of households.

According to data from 2022, all Boomer households had a collective wealth of $77 trillion, but only the top 10% held 71% of that wealth. That year, households led by a Boomer who had at least a bachelor's degree had a median wealth of over $1 million, higher than the typical net worth, adjusted for inflation, of college-educated Americans belonging to the Greatest Generation.

However, households led by Boomers with lower levels of education do not have median wealth higher than that of earlier generations with similar levels of education. Overall, Boomer households with less education have about the same wealth as earlier, similarly educated households.

Pew Research Centre found that households headed by a Boomer with some college education had a median net worth of $330,500 in 2022, lower than the median wealth of $527,700 of similarly educated households headed by an older adult in 2001. The wages of non-college-educated men have been declining for years, affecting their ability to accumulate wealth.

The 2062 Forecast: The Long Goodbye

The US Census Bureau predicts the Boomer population will slowly dwindle to around 1 million by 2062, at which point the youngest members will be 98. Until then, the focus remains on the 'Great Wealth Transfer', the process by which this generation's assets will eventually pass down to Millennials and Gen Z. However, with 71% of that wealth concentrated in just 10% of households, the promised 'inheritance boom' may only materialise for a small fraction of the younger population.

As the Class of 1946 hits the 80-year milestone, the focus of the national conversation is shifting from wealth accumulation to healthcare sustainability. With the oldest Boomers now requiring more intensive medical support, the strain on the US healthcare system is expected to peak between 2026 and 2030. For the 'unlucky' 90% who do not sit within the elite wealth bracket, the challenge of self-funding a long-term retirement has become a pressing political issue.

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