KEN PAXTON LEAKED AUDIO
Ken Paxton’s leaked remarks about falling Republican numbers put his private assessment of Trump’s Texas convention under fresh scrutiny KEN PAXTON: Gage Skidmore/WIKIMEDIA COMMONS, DONALD TRUMP: Gage Skidmore/WIKIMEDIA COMMONS

Leaked admission that a high-profile Republican convention 'dropped our numbers' has thrown fresh scrutiny on Donald Trump's influence in Texas, after a covert recording captured Senate hopeful Ken Paxton privately lamenting that 'everybody's numbers dropped' following the Dallas event that Trump hailed as 'amazing'.

'So to be honest with you, the numbers, when we did that convention, it dropped our numbers. Everybody's numbers dropped. Right now, yeah, not good,' Paxton says in the recording.

The exchange has put fresh focus on the relationship between Paxton's campaign and the president who helped propel him through the Republican primary.

Trump Mocked Paxton Onstage

The remarks are striking because Trump had used the 9 September Dallas convention to promote Paxton's Senate campaign, while taking a series of personal jabs at his appearance and speaking style.

Trump told the crowd that Paxton 'may not dress right', 'may not talk exactly perfectly' and 'may not be the best-looking guy'. He then pivoted, calling Paxton 'the greatest attorney general in America' and saying he deserved to be Texas' next senator.

Days later, at a private fundraiser attended by conservative donors and lobbyists, Paxton was asked whether 'he' was 'a little bit of a drag'. The recording does not make clear who the questioner meant by 'he'. Paxton's answer, however, immediately turned to the Dallas convention and declining Republican numbers.

Trump Calls the Convention 'Amazing'

Asked about the recording on 30 September, Trump said he had not heard about Paxton's remarks. He then offered a very different assessment. 'I can tell you that the convention was amazing,' Trump said, while referring to its reported viewership and arguing that other Republican candidates had benefited from the event.

That leaves a contrast between public and private accounts: Trump celebrated the convention, while Paxton was recorded telling donors that Republican numbers had fallen after it.

Paxton Campaign Pushes Back

Paxton's campaign has rejected the report. Senior adviser Nick Maddux described it as 'manipulated nonsense' and disputed the account. The campaign also pointed to internal polling showing Paxton three points ahead of Democratic nominee James Talarico.

The recording itself has not been independently verified. However, it was reported that three people with knowledge of the fundraiser confirmed Paxton attended, while two remembered the question and one recalled his response. The person who supplied the recording was an attendee who opposed Paxton's candidacy.

Polling Adds Another Twist

The disagreement over Paxton's numbers extends beyond the leaked conversation. A recent public poll reported by ABC News put Talarico ahead of Paxton among likely voters, while Paxton's campaign has cited its own survey showing the Republican in front.

Those competing surveys provide different snapshots of the race, but neither settles what caused any movement in support. Paxton's recording captures his assessment of what happened after the convention, rather than an independent analysis establishing that the event itself caused the change.

That distinction matters because the Dallas gathering was only one event in a rapidly moving campaign.

Trump's Backing Remains Central

Trump endorsed Paxton over incumbent Senator John Cornyn during the Republican primary, and Paxton went on to defeat the four-term senator and secure the nomination. He now faces Talarico in the November general election.

Trump's political network has also continued backing Paxton, with Reuters reporting that MAGA Inc had committed at least $10 million to the race according to an early September Federal Election Commission filing.

The leaked recording underlines the gap between the president's public confidence in his Dallas convention and Paxton's private assessment that, afterwards, 'everybody's numbers dropped'.

For a campaign built heavily around Trump's endorsement, the question now hanging over the race is not simply what happened at the convention, but how Paxton's private comments will be interpreted alongside his public alliance with the president.